Ta yaya buƙatun ƙarfe na duniya zai canza a 2023?Dangane da sakamakon hasashen da Cibiyar Tsare-tsare ta Masana'antu da Cibiyar Bincike ta fitar kwanan nan, buƙatun ƙarfe na duniya a cikin 2023 zai gabatar da halaye masu zuwa:
Asiya.A shekarar 2022, bunkasuwar tattalin arzikin Asiya za ta fuskanci babban kalubale a sakamakon tsaurara yanayin hada-hadar kudi na duniya, da rikicin da ke tsakanin Rasha da Ukraine, da koma bayan ci gaban tattalin arzikin kasar Sin.Ana sa ran zuwa shekarar 2023, Asiya na cikin matsayi mai kyau na ci gaban tattalin arzikin duniya, kuma ana sa ran za ta shiga wani mataki na raguwar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki cikin sauri, kuma karuwar tattalin arzikinta zai zarce sauran yankuna.Asusun Ba da Lamuni na Duniya (IMF) yana sa ran tattalin arzikin Asiya zai bunkasa da kashi 4.3% a shekarar 2023. A cewar wani cikakken hukunci, bukatar karfen Asiya a shekarar 2023 ya kai tan biliyan 1.273, wanda ya karu da kashi 0.5% a shekara.
Turai.Bayan wannan rikici, ana ci gaba da tabarbarewar sarkar samar da kayayyaki a duniya, makamashi da farashin abinci, a shekarar 2023 tattalin arzikin Turai zai fuskanci kalubale da rashin tabbas, hauhawar farashin kayayyaki sakamakon raguwar ayyukan tattalin arziki, karancin makamashi na matsalolin ci gaban masana'antu, tsadar rayuwa. kuma amincewar zuba jari na kamfanoni zai zama ci gaban tattalin arzikin Turai.A cikin cikakkiyar hukunci, buƙatar ƙarfe na Turai a cikin 2023 kusan tan miliyan 193 ne, ƙasa da 1.4% kowace shekara.
Kudancin Amurka.A shekarar 2023, sakamakon hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a duniya, galibin kasashen da ke Kudancin Amurka za su fuskanci matsin lamba don farfado da tattalin arzikinsu, da shawo kan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da samar da ayyukan yi, kuma ci gaban tattalin arzikinsu zai ragu.Asusun ba da lamuni na duniya IMF yayi hasashen cewa tattalin arzikin Kudancin Amurka zai bunkasa da kashi 1.6% a shekarar 2023. Daga cikin su, samar da ababen more rayuwa, gidaje da ayyukan makamashi mai sabuntawa, ayyukan tashar jiragen ruwa, man fetur da iskar gas ana sa ran za su tashi, wanda bukatar karfen Brazil ke jagoranta, kai tsaye zuwa ga sake komawa cikin bukatar karfe a Kudancin Amurka.Gabaɗaya, buƙatun ƙarfe a Kudancin Amurka ya kai kusan tan miliyan 42.44, sama da 1.9% a shekara.
Afirka.Tattalin Arzikin Afirka ya habaka cikin sauri a shekarar 2022. A karkashin tasirin rikici tsakanin Rasha da Ukraine, farashin mai a duniya ya yi tashin gwauron zabo, wasu kasashen Turai sun karkata bukatarsu ta makamashi zuwa Afirka, lamarin da ya kara habaka tattalin arzikin Afirka yadda ya kamata.
Asusun ba da lamuni na duniya IMF ya yi hasashen cewa, tattalin arzikin Afirka zai bunkasa da kashi 3.7 cikin 100 a kowace shekara a shekarar 2023. Tare da hauhawar farashin mai da dimbin ayyukan samar da ababen more rayuwa, ana sa ran bukatar karafan Afirka zai kai ton miliyan 41.3 a shekarar 2023, wanda ya karu da kashi 5.1% a shekarar 2023. shekara.
Gabas ta Tsakiya.A shekarar 2023, farfadowar tattalin arzikin yankin gabas ta tsakiya zai dogara ne kan farashin mai na kasa da kasa, matakan keɓewa, iyakokin manufofin tallafawa haɓaka, da matakan rage barnar tattalin arzikin da annobar ta haifar.A sa'i daya kuma, geopolitics da sauran abubuwan kuma za su kawo rashin tabbas ga ci gaban tattalin arzikin yankin gabas ta tsakiya.Asusun Ba da Lamuni na Duniya ya yi hasashen cewa Gabas ta Tsakiya za ta karu da kashi 5% a shekarar 2023. A cewar wani cikakken hukunci, bukatar karfe a Gabas ta Tsakiya a shekarar 2023 ya kai tan miliyan 51, wanda ya karu da kashi 2% a shekara.
OceaniaBabban ƙasashen da ake amfani da ƙarfe a cikin Oceania sune Australia da New Zealand.A cikin 2022, ayyukan tattalin arzikin Ostiraliya ya murmure a hankali, kuma an haɓaka kwarin gwiwar kasuwanci.Tattalin arzikin New Zealand ya murmure, sakamakon farfadowar ayyuka da yawon bude ido.Asusun Ba da Lamuni na Duniya ya yi hasashen cewa Ostiraliya da New Zealand za su yi girma da kashi 1.9% a shekarar 2023. A cewar cikakken hasashen, buƙatun ƙarfe na Oceania a 2023 kusan tan miliyan 7.10 ne, sama da 2.9% a shekara.
Dangane da hasashen canjin buƙatun ƙarfe a manyan yankuna na duniya, a cikin 2022, yawan amfani da ƙarfe a Asiya, Turai, ƙasashen Commonwealth na ƙasashe masu zaman kansu da Kudancin Amurka duk sun nuna koma baya.Daga cikin su, kasashen CIS ne suka fi fuskantar rikicin kai tsaye tsakanin Rasha da Ukraine, kuma ci gaban tattalin arzikin kasashen yankin ya yi matukar takaici, inda yawan karafa ya ragu da kashi 8.8% a shekara.Yawan amfani da karafa a Arewacin Amurka, Afirka, Gabas ta Tsakiya da Oceania ya nuna haɓakar haɓaka, tare da haɓakar 0.9%, 2.9%, 2.1% da 4.5% bi da bi.A shekarar 2023, ana sa ran bukatar karafa a kasashen CIS da Turai za ta ci gaba da raguwa, yayin da bukatar karafa a wasu yankuna za ta karu kadan.
Daga canjin tsarin buƙatun ƙarfe a yankuna daban-daban, a cikin 2023, buƙatar ƙarfe na Asiya a duniya zai kasance kusan 71%;Bukatar karfe a Turai da Arewacin Amurka zai kasance na biyu da na uku, bukatar karfe a Turai zai ragu da maki 0.2 zuwa kashi 10.7%, bukatar karfe ta Arewacin Amurka zai karu da maki 0.3 zuwa 7.5%.A cikin 2023, buƙatun ƙarfe a cikin ƙasashen CIS zai ragu zuwa 2.8%, kwatankwacin wannan a Gabas ta Tsakiya;cewa a Afirka da Kudancin Amurka za su karu zuwa 2.3% da 2.4% bi da bi.
Gabaɗaya, bisa nazarin ci gaban tattalin arzikin duniya da na shiyya-shiyya da buƙatun karafa, ana sa ran buƙatun ƙarfe na duniya zai kai tan biliyan 1.801 a shekarar 2023, tare da bunƙasa a duk shekara da kashi 0.4%.
Lokacin aikawa: Juni-26-2023