Ta yaya buƙatar ƙarfe a duniya zai canza a shekarar 2023? Dangane da hasashen da Cibiyar Tsara da Bincike ta Masana'antar Ƙarfe ta fitar kwanan nan, buƙatar ƙarfe a duniya a shekarar 2023 za ta gabatar da waɗannan halaye:
Asiya. A shekarar 2022, ci gaban tattalin arzikin Asiya zai fuskanci manyan ƙalubale a ƙarƙashin tasirin ƙarfafa yanayin kuɗi na duniya, rikicin da ke tsakanin Rasha da Ukraine, da kuma raguwar ci gaban tattalin arzikin China. Idan aka yi la'akari da shekarar 2023, Asiya tana cikin yanayi mai kyau na ci gaban tattalin arzikin duniya, kuma ana sa ran za ta shiga wani mataki na raguwar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki cikin sauri, kuma ƙimar ci gaban tattalin arzikinta za ta zarce sauran yankuna. Asusun Ba da Lamuni na Duniya (IMF) yana sa ran tattalin arzikin Asiya zai karu da kashi 4.3% a shekarar 2023. A cewar cikakken hukunci, buƙatar ƙarfe a Asiya a shekarar 2023 ya kai kimanin tan biliyan 1.273, wanda ya karu da kashi 0.5% a shekara.
Turai. Bayan rikicin, tashin hankali a kan sarkar samar da kayayyaki ta duniya, makamashi da farashin abinci na ci gaba da hauhawa, a shekarar 2023, tattalin arzikin Turai zai fuskanci manyan kalubale da rashin tabbas, matsin lamba mai yawa na hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da raguwar ayyukan tattalin arziki, karancin makamashi na matsalolin ci gaban masana'antu, hauhawar farashin rayuwa da kwarin gwiwar saka hannun jari na kamfanoni za su zama ci gaban tattalin arzikin Turai. A cikin cikakken hukunci, bukatar karafa ta Turai a shekarar 2023 ta kai kimanin tan miliyan 193, raguwa da kashi 1.4% duk shekara.
Kudancin Amurka. A shekarar 2023, wadda hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a duniya ta jawo, yawancin ƙasashe a Kudancin Amurka za su fuskanci matsin lamba mai yawa don farfado da tattalin arzikinsu, su daidaita hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da kuma samar da ayyukan yi, kuma ci gaban tattalin arzikinsu zai ragu. Asusun Ba da Lamuni na Duniya ya yi hasashen cewa tattalin arzikin Kudancin Amurka zai karu da kashi 1.6% a shekarar 2023. Daga cikinsu, ana sa ran ayyukan samar da ababen more rayuwa, gidaje da ayyukan makamashi mai sabuntawa, tashoshin jiragen ruwa, ayyukan mai da iskar gas za su karu, wanda hakan ke haifar da buƙatar ƙarfe ta Brazil, wanda ke haifar da koma baya ga buƙatar ƙarfe a Kudancin Amurka. Gabaɗaya, buƙatar ƙarfe a Kudancin Amurka ta kai kimanin tan miliyan 42.44, wanda ya karu da kashi 1.9% a shekara.
Afirka. Tattalin arzikin Afirka ya karu da sauri a shekarar 2022. A karkashin tasirin rikicin da ke tsakanin Rasha da Ukraine, farashin mai na ƙasashen duniya ya tashi sosai, kuma wasu ƙasashen Turai sun mayar da buƙatar makamashinsu zuwa Afirka, wanda hakan ya inganta tattalin arzikin Afirka yadda ya kamata.
Asusun Ba da Lamuni na Duniya ya yi hasashen cewa tattalin arzikin Afirka zai karu da kashi 3.7 cikin 100 a kowace shekara a shekarar 2023. Tare da hauhawar farashin mai da kuma fara ayyukan ababen more rayuwa da yawa, ana sa ran bukatar karafa a Afirka za ta kai tan miliyan 41.3 a shekarar 2023, wanda ya karu da kashi 5.1 cikin 100 a kowace shekara.
Gabas ta Tsakiya. A shekarar 2023, farfaɗowar tattalin arziki a Gabas ta Tsakiya zai dogara ne akan farashin mai na ƙasashen duniya, matakan keɓewa, iyakokin manufofi don tallafawa ci gaba, da matakan rage lalacewar tattalin arziki da annobar ta haifar. A lokaci guda, siyasa ta ƙasa da sauran abubuwa za su kuma kawo rashin tabbas ga ci gaban tattalin arzikin Gabas ta Tsakiya. Asusun Ba da Lamuni na Duniya ya yi hasashen cewa Gabas ta Tsakiya za ta karu da kashi 5% a shekarar 2023. A cewar cikakken hukunci, buƙatar ƙarfe a Gabas ta Tsakiya a shekarar 2023 ya kai kimanin tan miliyan 51, wanda ya karu da kashi 2% a shekara.
Oceania. Manyan ƙasashen da ke amfani da ƙarfe a Oceania sune Ostiraliya da New Zealand. A shekarar 2022, harkokin tattalin arzikin Ostiraliya sun farfaɗo a hankali, kuma an ƙarfafa kwarin gwiwar kasuwanci. Tattalin arzikin New Zealand ya farfaɗo, godiya ga farfadowar ayyuka da yawon buɗe ido. Asusun Ba da Lamuni na Duniya ya yi hasashen cewa Ostiraliya da New Zealand za su girma da kashi 1.9% a shekarar 2023. A cewar hasashen da aka yi, buƙatar ƙarfe a Oceania a shekarar 2023 ya kai kimanin tan miliyan 7.10, wanda ya karu da kashi 2.9% idan aka kwatanta da shekara.
Daga hangen canjin da aka yi hasashen zai faru a manyan yankuna na duniya, a shekarar 2022, yawan amfani da ƙarfe a Asiya, Turai, ƙasashen Commonwealth of Independent States da Kudancin Amurka duk sun nuna raguwar amfani da ƙarfe. Daga cikinsu, ƙasashen CIS ne suka fi fama da rikicin da ke tsakanin Rasha da Ukraine, kuma ci gaban tattalin arzikin ƙasashen yankin ya yi matuƙar ɓaci, inda yawan amfani da ƙarfe ya ragu da kashi 8.8% a kowace shekara. Yawan amfani da ƙarfe a Arewacin Amurka, Afirka, Gabas ta Tsakiya da Oceania ya nuna ƙaruwar amfani da ƙarfe, inda ƙaruwar da ake samu daga shekara zuwa shekara ta 0.9%, 2.9%, 2.1% da 4.5% bi da bi. A shekarar 2023, ana sa ran buƙatar ƙarfe a ƙasashen CIS da Turai za ta ci gaba da raguwa, yayin da buƙatar ƙarfe a wasu yankuna za ta ƙaru kaɗan.
Daga canjin yanayin buƙatar ƙarfe a yankuna daban-daban, a shekarar 2023, buƙatar ƙarfe a Asiya a duniya za ta ci gaba da kasancewa kusan kashi 71%; buƙatar ƙarfe a Turai da Arewacin Amurka za ta ci gaba da kasancewa na biyu da na uku, buƙatar ƙarfe a Turai za ta faɗi da kashi 0.2% zuwa kashi 10.7%, buƙatar ƙarfe a Arewacin Amurka za ta ƙaru da kashi 0.3% zuwa kashi 7.5%. A shekarar 2023, buƙatar ƙarfe a ƙasashen CIS za ta ragu zuwa kashi 2.8%, idan aka kwatanta da na Gabas ta Tsakiya; cewa a Afirka da Kudancin Amurka za ta ƙaru zuwa kashi 2.3% da 2.4% bi da bi.
Gabaɗaya, bisa ga nazarin ci gaban tattalin arzikin duniya da na yanki da kuma buƙatar ƙarfe, ana sa ran buƙatar ƙarfe a duniya za ta kai tan biliyan 1.801 a shekarar 2023, tare da ƙaruwar kashi 0.4% na shekara-shekara.
Lokacin Saƙo: Yuni-26-2023